Market Analysisessential

Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM)

The realistic share of SAM you can capture in the near term given competition and resources.

Formula
SOM = SAM × Achievable Market Share %
Example

If SAM is $1B and you can realistically capture 2% in year one, SOM = $20M.

Good Range

1-5% of SAM is realistic for new entrants

Warning Range

Claiming > 10% SOM requires strong justification

Complete Definition

Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) is the portion of SAM you can realistically capture in the near term. It's your realistic market share target based on competition, resources, and go-to-market capabilities.

How to Calculate SOM

SOM = SAM × Realistic Market Share Percentage

Or for early-stage: SOM = Number of Realistic Customers × Average Revenue

Factors Affecting SOM

- Competitive intensity - Sales and marketing resources - Brand awareness - Product maturity - Channel partnerships - Go-to-market efficiency - Time in market

SOM Planning

- **Year 1**: 0.5-2% of SAM for new entrants - **Year 3**: 2-5% of SAM with traction - **Year 5**: 5-15% of SAM with strong execution

Why SOM Matters

- Most realistic revenue projection - Grounds your forecasts in reality - Shows you understand competition - Basis for financial projections - Guides resource allocation

Credible SOM Presentations

Back up SOM claims with: - Comparable company growth rates - Channel capacity analysis - Sales team productivity assumptions - Marketing funnel metrics

Used in:Market AnalysisFinancial Projections

Related Terms

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